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		<title><![CDATA[Global Warming Skeptics - The Science]]></title>
		<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/</link>
		<description><![CDATA[Global Warming Skeptics - http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums]]></description>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Sep 2010 23:38:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<generator>MyBB</generator>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[A Study of Gases in Arctic &#x26; Antarctic Firn]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-879.html</link>
			<pubDate>Wed, 18 Aug 2010 14:49:40 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-879.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[If you have not seen this paper, you may find it worth a read:<br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;"><br />
A Study of Gases in Arctic &amp; Antarctic Firn<br />
An Honors Paper for the Department of Physics and Astronomy<br />
<br />
by Eric Douglas Sofen</span><br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~esofen/files/Honors_Paper_EricSofen.pdf" target="_blank">http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~esofen/...cSofen.pdf</a><br />
<br />
It is more enlightened than most.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[If you have not seen this paper, you may find it worth a read:<br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;"><br />
A Study of Gases in Arctic &amp; Antarctic Firn<br />
An Honors Paper for the Department of Physics and Astronomy<br />
<br />
by Eric Douglas Sofen</span><br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~esofen/files/Honors_Paper_EricSofen.pdf" target="_blank">http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~esofen/...cSofen.pdf</a><br />
<br />
It is more enlightened than most.]]></content:encoded>
		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[All satellite data removed..]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-870.html</link>
			<pubDate>Sat, 14 Aug 2010 00:42:55 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-870.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[Hi All,<br />
Thank you to Hans Shreuder who sent me this.<br />
(Hans has an email list that is well worth being added to.)<br />
<br />
Hans writes,<br />
<span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-weight: bold;"><span style="font-size: large;">Whatever next?!</span><br />
 <br />
This breaking news has opened up a huge can of worms and I urge everyone to also read the excellent related story in the links below that <br />
substantiates the fact that the satellite network responsible for collecting climate data is showing serious signs of systemic degradation with the following failures also discovered:</span></span><br />
 <br />
<span style="color: #1E90FF;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">The NPOESS <a href="http://notrickszone.com/2010/08/03/climate-scandals-list-of-94-climate-gates/" target="_blank">(National Polar-orbiting Operational Environmental Satellite)</a> will not have any sensors that measure the sun’s energy output on the 2nd and 4th satellites. <br />
The GOES-R <a href="http://www.goes-r.gov/" target="_blank">(Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite-R Series)</a> has had 14 sensors cancelled. <br />
No data for cloud base height, ozone layer, ocean color, ocean turbidity and cloud imagery, snow cover, etc. Effectively neutered. <br />
Landsat 7 (currently in orbit) is broken leaving data gaps. Scientists do not get all the information they should. <br />
No sensor for movement of greenhouse gases and pollutants. No sensor to monitor temperature changes on Earth over time.<br />
But per the article NOAA and DOD failed to try to get the funding to keep the eliminated sensors. <br />
The sensor to measure how Earth’s temperature reacts to changes in Solar energy was cancelled by the Obama Administration at the end of June 2011.<br />
<a href="http://co2insanity.com/2010/08/08/satellite-gate/" target="_blank">http://co2insanity.com/2010/08/08/satellite-gate/</a><br />
<a href="http://www.climatechangefraud.com/climate-reports/7491-official-satellite-failure-means-decade-of-global-warming-data-doubtful" target="_blank">http://www.climatechangefraud.com/climat...a-doubtful</a><br />
----</span></span>With thanks to John O'Sullivan<br />
 <br />
<span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">sent to you by<br />
Hans Schreuder<br />
<a href="http://www.ilovemycarbondioxide.com" target="_blank">http://www.ilovemycarbondioxide.com</a></span></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[Hi All,<br />
Thank you to Hans Shreuder who sent me this.<br />
(Hans has an email list that is well worth being added to.)<br />
<br />
Hans writes,<br />
<span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-weight: bold;"><span style="font-size: large;">Whatever next?!</span><br />
 <br />
This breaking news has opened up a huge can of worms and I urge everyone to also read the excellent related story in the links below that <br />
substantiates the fact that the satellite network responsible for collecting climate data is showing serious signs of systemic degradation with the following failures also discovered:</span></span><br />
 <br />
<span style="color: #1E90FF;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">The NPOESS <a href="http://notrickszone.com/2010/08/03/climate-scandals-list-of-94-climate-gates/" target="_blank">(National Polar-orbiting Operational Environmental Satellite)</a> will not have any sensors that measure the sun’s energy output on the 2nd and 4th satellites. <br />
The GOES-R <a href="http://www.goes-r.gov/" target="_blank">(Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite-R Series)</a> has had 14 sensors cancelled. <br />
No data for cloud base height, ozone layer, ocean color, ocean turbidity and cloud imagery, snow cover, etc. Effectively neutered. <br />
Landsat 7 (currently in orbit) is broken leaving data gaps. Scientists do not get all the information they should. <br />
No sensor for movement of greenhouse gases and pollutants. No sensor to monitor temperature changes on Earth over time.<br />
But per the article NOAA and DOD failed to try to get the funding to keep the eliminated sensors. <br />
The sensor to measure how Earth’s temperature reacts to changes in Solar energy was cancelled by the Obama Administration at the end of June 2011.<br />
<a href="http://co2insanity.com/2010/08/08/satellite-gate/" target="_blank">http://co2insanity.com/2010/08/08/satellite-gate/</a><br />
<a href="http://www.climatechangefraud.com/climate-reports/7491-official-satellite-failure-means-decade-of-global-warming-data-doubtful" target="_blank">http://www.climatechangefraud.com/climat...a-doubtful</a><br />
----</span></span>With thanks to John O'Sullivan<br />
 <br />
<span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">sent to you by<br />
Hans Schreuder<br />
<a href="http://www.ilovemycarbondioxide.com" target="_blank">http://www.ilovemycarbondioxide.com</a></span></span>]]></content:encoded>
		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[Spencer's Book]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-861.html</link>
			<pubDate>Sat, 07 Aug 2010 19:23:51 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-861.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[I have not seen it mentioned in this forum and perhaps I missed it.  In case others have missed it, Spencer published a book a couple of months ago titled:<br />
<br />
<span style="font-style: italic;">The Great Global Warming Blunder: How Mother Nature Fooled The World's Top Climate Scientists, </span><br />
<br />
An excellent review of the book appears here under the title <span style="font-style: italic;">Global Warming, R.I.P.</span><br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.americanthinker.com/2010/08/global_warming_rip.html" target="_blank">http://www.americanthinker.com/2010/08/g...g_rip.html</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[I have not seen it mentioned in this forum and perhaps I missed it.  In case others have missed it, Spencer published a book a couple of months ago titled:<br />
<br />
<span style="font-style: italic;">The Great Global Warming Blunder: How Mother Nature Fooled The World's Top Climate Scientists, </span><br />
<br />
An excellent review of the book appears here under the title <span style="font-style: italic;">Global Warming, R.I.P.</span><br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.americanthinker.com/2010/08/global_warming_rip.html" target="_blank">http://www.americanthinker.com/2010/08/g...g_rip.html</a>]]></content:encoded>
		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[Does An Average Global Temperature Exist?]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-857.html</link>
			<pubDate>Tue, 03 Aug 2010 20:57:35 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-857.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[All of the hysteria in the AGW debate centers around the ability to calculate an average global temperature from various data sets, individually, or somehow joined together, manipulated, or mathematically smoothed, etc. The data sets come from ground based sources and ocean termperatures  to satellite data and tree rings and ice cores.  But what if there is no meaningful mathematical entity as  <span style="font-style: italic;">Average Global Temperature?  </span>  Then the consequences for the debate are huge. For example, politicians worldwide are making decisions on a perhaps fictitious number and its historical trend - regardless of how the number is constructed and regardless of whether it shows warming or cooling. Millions (Billions?) of dollars are being spent on the development and running of climate models to project the value of this elusive number into the future. <br />
<br />
In a really thought provoking paper written in 2001 by Christopher Essex, Ross McKitrick, and Bjarne Andresen, this very question is explored.  There is a lot of tough mathematics and physics after page 6 of the paper. The first few pages are very readable and imply that the whole temperature debate cannot be resolved based on current mathematical assumptions and physical descriptions of the atmosphere and the models that use them (my interpretation).<br />
<br />
Here is the abstract and link to the paper:<br />
<br />
<span style="font-style: italic;">Physical, mathematical and observational grounds are employed to show that there is no physically meaningful global temperature for the Earth in the context of the issue of global warming. While it is always possible to construct statistics for any given set of local temperature data, an infinite range of such statistics is mathematically permissible if physical principles provide no explicit basis for choosing among them. Distinct and equally valid statistical rules can and do show opposite trends when applied to the results of computations from physical models and real data in the atmosphere. A given temperature field can be interpreted as both “warming” and “cooling” simultaneously, making the concept of warming in the context of the issue of global warming physically ill-posed.</span><br />
<br />
And the link:<br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.uoguelph.ca/~rmckitri/research/globaltemp/GlobTemp.JNET.pdf" target="_blank">http://www.uoguelph.ca/~rmckitri/researc...p.JNET.pdf</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[All of the hysteria in the AGW debate centers around the ability to calculate an average global temperature from various data sets, individually, or somehow joined together, manipulated, or mathematically smoothed, etc. The data sets come from ground based sources and ocean termperatures  to satellite data and tree rings and ice cores.  But what if there is no meaningful mathematical entity as  <span style="font-style: italic;">Average Global Temperature?  </span>  Then the consequences for the debate are huge. For example, politicians worldwide are making decisions on a perhaps fictitious number and its historical trend - regardless of how the number is constructed and regardless of whether it shows warming or cooling. Millions (Billions?) of dollars are being spent on the development and running of climate models to project the value of this elusive number into the future. <br />
<br />
In a really thought provoking paper written in 2001 by Christopher Essex, Ross McKitrick, and Bjarne Andresen, this very question is explored.  There is a lot of tough mathematics and physics after page 6 of the paper. The first few pages are very readable and imply that the whole temperature debate cannot be resolved based on current mathematical assumptions and physical descriptions of the atmosphere and the models that use them (my interpretation).<br />
<br />
Here is the abstract and link to the paper:<br />
<br />
<span style="font-style: italic;">Physical, mathematical and observational grounds are employed to show that there is no physically meaningful global temperature for the Earth in the context of the issue of global warming. While it is always possible to construct statistics for any given set of local temperature data, an infinite range of such statistics is mathematically permissible if physical principles provide no explicit basis for choosing among them. Distinct and equally valid statistical rules can and do show opposite trends when applied to the results of computations from physical models and real data in the atmosphere. A given temperature field can be interpreted as both “warming” and “cooling” simultaneously, making the concept of warming in the context of the issue of global warming physically ill-posed.</span><br />
<br />
And the link:<br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.uoguelph.ca/~rmckitri/research/globaltemp/GlobTemp.JNET.pdf" target="_blank">http://www.uoguelph.ca/~rmckitri/researc...p.JNET.pdf</a>]]></content:encoded>
		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[Some plants are kinda endothermic]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-852.html</link>
			<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 14:50:06 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-852.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[Hi All,<br />
Given all the fuss the Hockey Stick has, and continues to generate, <br />
this is a completely new thing to me that presumably must effect dendrochronology.<br />
Just when you thought you already knew everything you needed to know about trees this happens..<br />
<br />
Reference: Helliker, B.R., Richter, S.L. (2008). <br />
Subtropical to boreal convergence of tree-leaf temperatures. <br />
Nature DOI: <a href="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v454/n7203/full/nature07031.html" target="_blank">10.1038/nature07031 </a><br />
<br />
As discussed at,<br />
<a href="http://scienceblogs.com/notrocketscience/2008/06/tree_leaves_keep_the_same_temperature_from_tundra_to_tropics.php" target="_blank"> <span style="color: #FF0000;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">Tree leaves keep the same temperature from tundra to tropics</span></span> </a><br />
Excerpts,<br />
" <span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-weight: bold;"> A Canadian spruce and a Caribbean pine couldn't live in more different environments. <br />
One sits amid freezing tundra and the other basks in tropical heat. But despite their wildly different habitats, <br />
both trees have something in common - the temperature inside their leaves. <br />
Over the course of a year, their leaves manage to stay at a balmy average temperature of 21 degrees Celsius, <br />
the ideal temperature for photosynthesis. </span></span> "<br />
<br />
and,<br />
"<span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-weight: bold;"> <a href="http://www.bio.upenn.edu/faculty/helliker/" target="_blank">Brent Helliker</a> and <a href="http://www.sas.upenn.edu/earth/suzier.html" target="_blank">Suzanna Richter</a> opted for an unusual and indirect approach <br />
- they looked at the ratio of two forms of oxygen, 16O and 18O, in the wood of tree rings. <br />
<br />
Working with wood seems like an odd choice if you want to study leaves, but the oxygen ratios of all these parts are inter-linked. <br />
The water molecules in any given leaf contain a mixture of the two oxygen isotopes. <br />
During photosynthesis, leaves use this water to produce sugars, which are then used in other parts of the tree to build larger molecules such as cellulose. <br />
All this while, the ratio of 16O and 18O stays the same. So if you measure the oxygen ratio in a tree ring, <br />
you're indirectly going back in time to measure it in the leaves when that particular ring was laid.   <br />
<br />
The ratio of 16O and 18O is closely linked to both temperature and humidity. <br />
The ambient temperature affects the relative abundance of both forms in rainwater, and therefore in leaves. <br />
And when the air is less humid, the lighter 16O form evaporates from the leaf more quickly than the heavier 18O. <br />
This means that high levels of 18O  relative to its lighter counterpart are signs of higher temperatures and higher humidity. <br />
It also means that if you have the oxygen ratio and you know how humid the air was, <br />
you can also work out how hot the leaves must have been.</span></span> " <br />
<br />
and,<br />
" <span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">They aren't however suggesting that a tree's leaves stay at the same temperature all-day or all-season long. <br />
Instead, 21C is more of a long-term target that the tree achieves on average over the course of a year.</span></span> "<br />
<br />
and,<br />
" <span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">In hot conditions, leaves release water, which cools them as it evaporates from their surface; effectively, they sweat.<br />
Leaves can also hang at low angles where they catch less of the sun, or rebound some of the heat away with reflective hairs. <br />
In colder conditions, trees tend to bunch their leaves closer together, which reduces the rate at which individual leaves lose heat.</span></span> "<br />
<br />
and, finally..<br />
" <span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">The new results fly in the face of an historical assumption that the conditions inside a tree's leaves <br />
are coupled to those of the air around them, in both temperature and humidity. <br />
Many climate scientists use the oxygen ratios of tree rings to reconstruct the ambient temperatures of past climates. <br />
But this approach relies on a close match between the temperatures of leaves and air, <br />
a match that this new study calls into question.</span></span> "<br />
<br />
I came across the above having been reading this excellant posting and excellant following comments at P Gosselin - NoTricksZone blog,<br />
<a href="http://pgosselin.wordpress.com/2010/07/30/new-germanrussian-temperature-reconstruction-shows-no-correlation-with-co2/" target="_blank"> <span style="color: #FF0000;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">New German/Russian Temperature Reconstruction Shows No Correlation With CO2</span> </span></a><br />
<br />
about this release,<br />
<a href="http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2010-07/haog-sor072910.php" target="_blank"> Signs of reversal of Arctic cooling in some areas </a><br />
<br />
in regard to this study,<br />
Yu. M. Kononov, M. Friedrich and T. Boettger (2009): <br />
Regional Summer Temperature Reconstruction in the Khibiny Low Mountains (Kola Peninsula, NW Russia) <br />
by Means of Tree-ring Width during the Last Four Centuries. <br />
Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research, Vol. 41, No. 4, 2009, pp. 460� <br />
<a href="http://instaar.colorado.edu/aaar/browse_abstracts/index.php" target="_blank">http://instaar.colorado.edu/aaar/browse_.../index.php</a> <br />
DOI: 10.1657/1938-4246-41.4.460<br />
<br />
Some comments from the NoTricksZone posting,<br />
" <span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-weight: bold;"> Ed Caryl Says: <br />
I don’t believe you can extract temperature from tree rings. <br />
Solar activity? Yes. Rainfall? Yes. Length of growing season? Probably.<br />
Trees respond to light and moisture. A tree growing in the shade of another grows slowly. <br />
The trees around another tree grow up, die, fall, and thus affect the tree’s growth. <br />
Trees on the north side of a hill grow more slowly than those on the south side. <br />
Many things can change the light and moisture a tree receives, and thus the growth rate. <br />
Temperature is the least of these.</span></span> "<br />
<br />
" <span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-weight: bold;"> DirkH Says: <br />
that after felling a tree and cutting it to pieces you let the pieces rest for several years if you can. <br />
Reason is to let the wood dry out. <br />
So the humidity of the living tree tissue probably distorts the tree ring width in the most recent rings.</span></span> "]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[Hi All,<br />
Given all the fuss the Hockey Stick has, and continues to generate, <br />
this is a completely new thing to me that presumably must effect dendrochronology.<br />
Just when you thought you already knew everything you needed to know about trees this happens..<br />
<br />
Reference: Helliker, B.R., Richter, S.L. (2008). <br />
Subtropical to boreal convergence of tree-leaf temperatures. <br />
Nature DOI: <a href="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v454/n7203/full/nature07031.html" target="_blank">10.1038/nature07031 </a><br />
<br />
As discussed at,<br />
<a href="http://scienceblogs.com/notrocketscience/2008/06/tree_leaves_keep_the_same_temperature_from_tundra_to_tropics.php" target="_blank"> <span style="color: #FF0000;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">Tree leaves keep the same temperature from tundra to tropics</span></span> </a><br />
Excerpts,<br />
" <span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-weight: bold;"> A Canadian spruce and a Caribbean pine couldn't live in more different environments. <br />
One sits amid freezing tundra and the other basks in tropical heat. But despite their wildly different habitats, <br />
both trees have something in common - the temperature inside their leaves. <br />
Over the course of a year, their leaves manage to stay at a balmy average temperature of 21 degrees Celsius, <br />
the ideal temperature for photosynthesis. </span></span> "<br />
<br />
and,<br />
"<span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-weight: bold;"> <a href="http://www.bio.upenn.edu/faculty/helliker/" target="_blank">Brent Helliker</a> and <a href="http://www.sas.upenn.edu/earth/suzier.html" target="_blank">Suzanna Richter</a> opted for an unusual and indirect approach <br />
- they looked at the ratio of two forms of oxygen, 16O and 18O, in the wood of tree rings. <br />
<br />
Working with wood seems like an odd choice if you want to study leaves, but the oxygen ratios of all these parts are inter-linked. <br />
The water molecules in any given leaf contain a mixture of the two oxygen isotopes. <br />
During photosynthesis, leaves use this water to produce sugars, which are then used in other parts of the tree to build larger molecules such as cellulose. <br />
All this while, the ratio of 16O and 18O stays the same. So if you measure the oxygen ratio in a tree ring, <br />
you're indirectly going back in time to measure it in the leaves when that particular ring was laid.   <br />
<br />
The ratio of 16O and 18O is closely linked to both temperature and humidity. <br />
The ambient temperature affects the relative abundance of both forms in rainwater, and therefore in leaves. <br />
And when the air is less humid, the lighter 16O form evaporates from the leaf more quickly than the heavier 18O. <br />
This means that high levels of 18O  relative to its lighter counterpart are signs of higher temperatures and higher humidity. <br />
It also means that if you have the oxygen ratio and you know how humid the air was, <br />
you can also work out how hot the leaves must have been.</span></span> " <br />
<br />
and,<br />
" <span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">They aren't however suggesting that a tree's leaves stay at the same temperature all-day or all-season long. <br />
Instead, 21C is more of a long-term target that the tree achieves on average over the course of a year.</span></span> "<br />
<br />
and,<br />
" <span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">In hot conditions, leaves release water, which cools them as it evaporates from their surface; effectively, they sweat.<br />
Leaves can also hang at low angles where they catch less of the sun, or rebound some of the heat away with reflective hairs. <br />
In colder conditions, trees tend to bunch their leaves closer together, which reduces the rate at which individual leaves lose heat.</span></span> "<br />
<br />
and, finally..<br />
" <span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">The new results fly in the face of an historical assumption that the conditions inside a tree's leaves <br />
are coupled to those of the air around them, in both temperature and humidity. <br />
Many climate scientists use the oxygen ratios of tree rings to reconstruct the ambient temperatures of past climates. <br />
But this approach relies on a close match between the temperatures of leaves and air, <br />
a match that this new study calls into question.</span></span> "<br />
<br />
I came across the above having been reading this excellant posting and excellant following comments at P Gosselin - NoTricksZone blog,<br />
<a href="http://pgosselin.wordpress.com/2010/07/30/new-germanrussian-temperature-reconstruction-shows-no-correlation-with-co2/" target="_blank"> <span style="color: #FF0000;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">New German/Russian Temperature Reconstruction Shows No Correlation With CO2</span> </span></a><br />
<br />
about this release,<br />
<a href="http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2010-07/haog-sor072910.php" target="_blank"> Signs of reversal of Arctic cooling in some areas </a><br />
<br />
in regard to this study,<br />
Yu. M. Kononov, M. Friedrich and T. Boettger (2009): <br />
Regional Summer Temperature Reconstruction in the Khibiny Low Mountains (Kola Peninsula, NW Russia) <br />
by Means of Tree-ring Width during the Last Four Centuries. <br />
Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research, Vol. 41, No. 4, 2009, pp. 460� <br />
<a href="http://instaar.colorado.edu/aaar/browse_abstracts/index.php" target="_blank">http://instaar.colorado.edu/aaar/browse_.../index.php</a> <br />
DOI: 10.1657/1938-4246-41.4.460<br />
<br />
Some comments from the NoTricksZone posting,<br />
" <span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-weight: bold;"> Ed Caryl Says: <br />
I don’t believe you can extract temperature from tree rings. <br />
Solar activity? Yes. Rainfall? Yes. Length of growing season? Probably.<br />
Trees respond to light and moisture. A tree growing in the shade of another grows slowly. <br />
The trees around another tree grow up, die, fall, and thus affect the tree’s growth. <br />
Trees on the north side of a hill grow more slowly than those on the south side. <br />
Many things can change the light and moisture a tree receives, and thus the growth rate. <br />
Temperature is the least of these.</span></span> "<br />
<br />
" <span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-weight: bold;"> DirkH Says: <br />
that after felling a tree and cutting it to pieces you let the pieces rest for several years if you can. <br />
Reason is to let the wood dry out. <br />
So the humidity of the living tree tissue probably distorts the tree ring width in the most recent rings.</span></span> "]]></content:encoded>
		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[Questioning the logarithmic effect of CO2.]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-832.html</link>
			<pubDate>Mon, 19 Jul 2010 14:41:05 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-832.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[Hi All,<br />
I assume most here are aware that CO2 has a logarithmic effect upon atmospheric temperature,<br />
or rather this plot, and similar plots have shown to most that it does have such an effect.<br />
Certainly it is a central tenant of climate models and the IPCC's "explanations".<br />
<br />
<img src="http://i53.photobucket.com/albums/g43/DerekJohn_photos/stuff/Slide2-22.jpg" border="0" alt="[Image: Slide2-22.jpg]" /><br />
<br />
Well, it seems there may be good reason to question this "relationship".<br />
Thank you to Richard111 for sending me this link.<br />
<a href="http://kirkmyers.wordpress.com/2010/07/17/miskolczi-destroys-greenhouse-theory/" target="_blank">http://kirkmyers.wordpress.com/2010/07/1...se-theory/</a> <br />
<br />
So, how could so many for so long have possibly gone down the wrong path regarding the effects of CO2 on and within the atmosphere. ?<br />
<br />
It is time to revisit the experiment/s that measured the data that produced the plots.<br />
David Archibald did this experiment and produced the first plot of this type that I'm aware of. <br />
Maybe he wasn't the first, and I assume there are a lot of others, <br />
so any references to any would be greatly appreciated.<br />
<br />
In the meantime let me quote a comment by MostlyHarmless recently made on this forum.<br />
<br />
<blockquote><cite><span> (07-10-2010 05:21 PM)</span>MostlyHarmless Wrote: <a href="http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/post-5821.html#pid5821" class="quick_jump">&nbsp;</a></cite>Experiments done in the laboratory use rarefied CO2 to represent the sort of concentration found in the atmosphere. <br />
<span style="font-size: large;">The gas in the experimental vessels <span style="font-weight: bold;">has</span> to be pure CO2,</span> <br />
as water vapour masks most of the CO2 absorption and oxygen and nitrogen complicate the distort the measurements further. <br />
The experiments show that CO2 both absorbs and re-radiates LW IR strongly.</blockquote>
<br />
This comment (with my size emphasis) got me thinking, and it has generated some questions..<br />
<br />
The implication is that the gas in the vessel is pure CO2, but the first plot bar is for a concentration of CO2 of 20 parts per million. ?<br />
<br />
It would seem that either the other 999, 980 parts are absent, or are not water vapour, oxygen, nor nitrogen. Nor by implication any other gas that would mask CO2's absorbtion.<br />
So, it would also seem the experiment was conducted in a vessel that was a vacuum, or some other gas made up the 999,980 missing parts. <br />
Presumably this was an inert gas. Maybe a knoble gas was used. ?<br />
<br />
If a void was used to "fill in" the missing 999,980 parts then this is obviously not a valid experiment to the real, mixed, and open atmosphere. <br />
A proof would be needed that the measurements obtained would indded apply to the atmosphere.<br />
<br />
If an "inert" gas (radiatively speaking) was used, how could it be inert to conduction, and as the vessel is in a gravity field, the resulting convection. ?<br />
Surely there is no such "inert" gas in this respect. <br />
The specific heat of the inert gas would have a direct effect upon the conduction between itself and the CO2 in the vessel, so it would determine the measurements obtained for CO2.<br />
<br />
I am not sure the experiment as commonly quoted is actually of any relevance, <br />
which rather questions the basis for the commonly held understanding of<br />
the logarithmic effect of CO2 on temperature within the atmosphere...<br />
<br />
Any help with an accurate description of the experiment/s used to produce such plots <br />
that "show" CO2 has a logaritmc effect, would be greatly appreciated.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[Hi All,<br />
I assume most here are aware that CO2 has a logarithmic effect upon atmospheric temperature,<br />
or rather this plot, and similar plots have shown to most that it does have such an effect.<br />
Certainly it is a central tenant of climate models and the IPCC's "explanations".<br />
<br />
<img src="http://i53.photobucket.com/albums/g43/DerekJohn_photos/stuff/Slide2-22.jpg" border="0" alt="[Image: Slide2-22.jpg]" /><br />
<br />
Well, it seems there may be good reason to question this "relationship".<br />
Thank you to Richard111 for sending me this link.<br />
<a href="http://kirkmyers.wordpress.com/2010/07/17/miskolczi-destroys-greenhouse-theory/" target="_blank">http://kirkmyers.wordpress.com/2010/07/1...se-theory/</a> <br />
<br />
So, how could so many for so long have possibly gone down the wrong path regarding the effects of CO2 on and within the atmosphere. ?<br />
<br />
It is time to revisit the experiment/s that measured the data that produced the plots.<br />
David Archibald did this experiment and produced the first plot of this type that I'm aware of. <br />
Maybe he wasn't the first, and I assume there are a lot of others, <br />
so any references to any would be greatly appreciated.<br />
<br />
In the meantime let me quote a comment by MostlyHarmless recently made on this forum.<br />
<br />
<blockquote><cite><span> (07-10-2010 05:21 PM)</span>MostlyHarmless Wrote: <a href="http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/post-5821.html#pid5821" class="quick_jump">&nbsp;</a></cite>Experiments done in the laboratory use rarefied CO2 to represent the sort of concentration found in the atmosphere. <br />
<span style="font-size: large;">The gas in the experimental vessels <span style="font-weight: bold;">has</span> to be pure CO2,</span> <br />
as water vapour masks most of the CO2 absorption and oxygen and nitrogen complicate the distort the measurements further. <br />
The experiments show that CO2 both absorbs and re-radiates LW IR strongly.</blockquote>
<br />
This comment (with my size emphasis) got me thinking, and it has generated some questions..<br />
<br />
The implication is that the gas in the vessel is pure CO2, but the first plot bar is for a concentration of CO2 of 20 parts per million. ?<br />
<br />
It would seem that either the other 999, 980 parts are absent, or are not water vapour, oxygen, nor nitrogen. Nor by implication any other gas that would mask CO2's absorbtion.<br />
So, it would also seem the experiment was conducted in a vessel that was a vacuum, or some other gas made up the 999,980 missing parts. <br />
Presumably this was an inert gas. Maybe a knoble gas was used. ?<br />
<br />
If a void was used to "fill in" the missing 999,980 parts then this is obviously not a valid experiment to the real, mixed, and open atmosphere. <br />
A proof would be needed that the measurements obtained would indded apply to the atmosphere.<br />
<br />
If an "inert" gas (radiatively speaking) was used, how could it be inert to conduction, and as the vessel is in a gravity field, the resulting convection. ?<br />
Surely there is no such "inert" gas in this respect. <br />
The specific heat of the inert gas would have a direct effect upon the conduction between itself and the CO2 in the vessel, so it would determine the measurements obtained for CO2.<br />
<br />
I am not sure the experiment as commonly quoted is actually of any relevance, <br />
which rather questions the basis for the commonly held understanding of<br />
the logarithmic effect of CO2 on temperature within the atmosphere...<br />
<br />
Any help with an accurate description of the experiment/s used to produce such plots <br />
that "show" CO2 has a logaritmc effect, would be greatly appreciated.]]></content:encoded>
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			<title><![CDATA[ENERGY]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-828.html</link>
			<pubDate>Sat, 17 Jul 2010 01:17:50 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-828.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[<a href="http://www.energytribune.com/articles.cfm?aid=2469" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">Understanding E = mc^2</span></span></a><br />
<br />
By William Tucker  <br />
<br />
This is a must read. The quote below is out of context but will give you an idea. An explanation of the relative energy densities of wood, coal, oil and nuclear is mind blowing, but when you see the green stuff... WOW!<br />
<br />
<blockquote><cite>Quote:</cite>What about solar energy? Solar radiation is the result of an E = mc2 transformation as the sun transforms hydrogen to helium. Unfortunately, the reaction takes place 90 million miles away. Radiation dissipates with the square of the distance, so by the time solar energy reaches the earth it is diluted by almost the same factor, 10-15. Thus, the amount of solar radiation falling on a one square meter is 400 watts, enough to power four 100-watt light bulbs. “Thermal solar” – large arrays of mirrors heating a fluid – can convert 30 percent of this to electricity. Photovoltaic cells are slightly less efficient, converting only about 25 percent. As a result, the amount of electricity we can draw from the sun is enough to power one 100-watt light bulb per card table.</blockquote>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<a href="http://www.energytribune.com/articles.cfm?aid=2469" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">Understanding E = mc^2</span></span></a><br />
<br />
By William Tucker  <br />
<br />
This is a must read. The quote below is out of context but will give you an idea. An explanation of the relative energy densities of wood, coal, oil and nuclear is mind blowing, but when you see the green stuff... WOW!<br />
<br />
<blockquote><cite>Quote:</cite>What about solar energy? Solar radiation is the result of an E = mc2 transformation as the sun transforms hydrogen to helium. Unfortunately, the reaction takes place 90 million miles away. Radiation dissipates with the square of the distance, so by the time solar energy reaches the earth it is diluted by almost the same factor, 10-15. Thus, the amount of solar radiation falling on a one square meter is 400 watts, enough to power four 100-watt light bulbs. “Thermal solar” – large arrays of mirrors heating a fluid – can convert 30 percent of this to electricity. Photovoltaic cells are slightly less efficient, converting only about 25 percent. As a result, the amount of electricity we can draw from the sun is enough to power one 100-watt light bulb per card table.</blockquote>
]]></content:encoded>
		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[No Harm, No Foul?]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-818.html</link>
			<pubDate>Thu, 15 Jul 2010 17:05:23 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-818.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[Or "My Endless Quest to Discover What the Heck is Bad About a Little Warming Anyhow?"<br />
<br />
The fund stream for Climate Research is unquestionably tied to the political perception that climate change constitutes a "problem" for our society. The notion that Anthropogenic Global Warming will lead to various horrible outcomes that hurt people and cute fuzzy animals certainly tugs on the heart strings of legislators and executives the world over. But to the cold hearted scientist, this notion is just another testable hypothesis-how irreverent of us! Well, at any rate, I have yet to find even one claim about AGW's "impacts"-even supposing that the concept is right in the first place, which many here are going to point out it isn't necessarily-which is actually supported by real world evidence. From a rational perspective-from a <span style="font-style: italic;">scientific</span> perspective, this claims are about as supportable as fantastical claims of magical fairies and flying lollipop trees.<br />
<br />
But I've still tried. Looking at <a href="http://devoidofnulls.wordpress.com/2010/02/24/testing-claims-of-climate-impacts/" target="_blank">virtually everything I could think</a> of in the US, and <a href="http://devoidofnulls.wordpress.com/2010/04/08/no-increase-in-category-4-and-5-tropical-cyclones-in-the-northern-hemisphere-since-1987/" target="_blank">Intense Tropical Cyclones</a> and <a href="http://devoidofnulls.wordpress.com/2010/02/24/global-drought/" target="_blank">Droughts</a> on much larger scales, I have yet to find anything.<br />
<br />
Can you think of other claims worth looking at?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[Or "My Endless Quest to Discover What the Heck is Bad About a Little Warming Anyhow?"<br />
<br />
The fund stream for Climate Research is unquestionably tied to the political perception that climate change constitutes a "problem" for our society. The notion that Anthropogenic Global Warming will lead to various horrible outcomes that hurt people and cute fuzzy animals certainly tugs on the heart strings of legislators and executives the world over. But to the cold hearted scientist, this notion is just another testable hypothesis-how irreverent of us! Well, at any rate, I have yet to find even one claim about AGW's "impacts"-even supposing that the concept is right in the first place, which many here are going to point out it isn't necessarily-which is actually supported by real world evidence. From a rational perspective-from a <span style="font-style: italic;">scientific</span> perspective, this claims are about as supportable as fantastical claims of magical fairies and flying lollipop trees.<br />
<br />
But I've still tried. Looking at <a href="http://devoidofnulls.wordpress.com/2010/02/24/testing-claims-of-climate-impacts/" target="_blank">virtually everything I could think</a> of in the US, and <a href="http://devoidofnulls.wordpress.com/2010/04/08/no-increase-in-category-4-and-5-tropical-cyclones-in-the-northern-hemisphere-since-1987/" target="_blank">Intense Tropical Cyclones</a> and <a href="http://devoidofnulls.wordpress.com/2010/02/24/global-drought/" target="_blank">Droughts</a> on much larger scales, I have yet to find anything.<br />
<br />
Can you think of other claims worth looking at?]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[The Greenhouse Effect - Destroying your own argument]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-802.html</link>
			<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jul 2010 14:50:43 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-802.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[By Rasmus Benestad of Real Climate: <a href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2010/07/a-simple-recipe-for-ghe/" target="_blank">A simple recipe for GHE</a><br />
<br />
<blockquote><cite>Quote:</cite>(iv) The relationship between temperature and altitude<br />
There is a well-known relationship between temperature and height in the troposphere, known as the ‘<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lapse_rate" target="_blank">lapse rate</a>‘ (the temperature decreases with height at a rate -6K/km). The relationship between temperature and altitude can also be seen in the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Standard_Atmosphere" target="_blank">standard atmosphere</a>. The lapse rate can be derived from theory for any atmosphere that is the hydrostatically stable condition with maximum vertical temperature gradient, but it is also well-known within meteorology. Thus, given the height and value of the emission temperature, we can get a simple estimate for the surface temperature: 255K + 5.5km * 6K/km = 288K (=15°C; close to the global mean estimated from observations given by NCDC of ~14°C).</blockquote>
<br />
I cannot disagree with this statement. Notice there's <span style="font-weight: bold;">no mention</span> of any "greenhouse effect" or other warming mechanism. <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atmospheric_pressure" target="_blank">Atmospheric pressure</a> is defined as "the force per unit area exerted against a surface by the weight of air above that surface in the Earth's atmosphere". At sea level the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Standard_Atmosphere" target="_blank">standard</a> gives a pressure of 1013.25 hPa (1 atm) and a temperature of 15°C, which agrees with the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ideal_gas_law" target="_blank">ideal gas law</a>. In other words, a temperature of 15°C exists at the surface solely due to the pressure exerted by the weight of the atmosphere.<br />
<br />
Benestad then goes on to discuss how the "Enhanced greenhouse effect" produces this temperature by warming an atmosphere which would otherwise be at -19°C. He really shouldn't have mentioned the lapse rate, which (at least for the first few Km) is predicted by the ideal gas law. By doing so, he's destroyed his own argument. Saved me the work.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[By Rasmus Benestad of Real Climate: <a href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2010/07/a-simple-recipe-for-ghe/" target="_blank">A simple recipe for GHE</a><br />
<br />
<blockquote><cite>Quote:</cite>(iv) The relationship between temperature and altitude<br />
There is a well-known relationship between temperature and height in the troposphere, known as the ‘<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lapse_rate" target="_blank">lapse rate</a>‘ (the temperature decreases with height at a rate -6K/km). The relationship between temperature and altitude can also be seen in the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Standard_Atmosphere" target="_blank">standard atmosphere</a>. The lapse rate can be derived from theory for any atmosphere that is the hydrostatically stable condition with maximum vertical temperature gradient, but it is also well-known within meteorology. Thus, given the height and value of the emission temperature, we can get a simple estimate for the surface temperature: 255K + 5.5km * 6K/km = 288K (=15°C; close to the global mean estimated from observations given by NCDC of ~14°C).</blockquote>
<br />
I cannot disagree with this statement. Notice there's <span style="font-weight: bold;">no mention</span> of any "greenhouse effect" or other warming mechanism. <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atmospheric_pressure" target="_blank">Atmospheric pressure</a> is defined as "the force per unit area exerted against a surface by the weight of air above that surface in the Earth's atmosphere". At sea level the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Standard_Atmosphere" target="_blank">standard</a> gives a pressure of 1013.25 hPa (1 atm) and a temperature of 15°C, which agrees with the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ideal_gas_law" target="_blank">ideal gas law</a>. In other words, a temperature of 15°C exists at the surface solely due to the pressure exerted by the weight of the atmosphere.<br />
<br />
Benestad then goes on to discuss how the "Enhanced greenhouse effect" produces this temperature by warming an atmosphere which would otherwise be at -19°C. He really shouldn't have mentioned the lapse rate, which (at least for the first few Km) is predicted by the ideal gas law. By doing so, he's destroyed his own argument. Saved me the work.]]></content:encoded>
		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[Ocean conveyor belt dismissed]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-786.html</link>
			<pubDate>Sat, 03 Jul 2010 06:38:09 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-786.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[From The Resilient Earth,<br />
<br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;"><span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-size: large;"><a href="http://theresilientearth.com/?q=content/ocean-conveyor-belt-dismissed" target="_blank">Ocean Conveyor Belt Dismissed</a></span></span></span><br />
Submitted by Doug L. Hoffman on Tue, 06/29/2010 - 11:50 <br />
<br />
<blockquote><cite>Quote:</cite>This reinforces the claim that previous climate models—which are highly dependent on the coupling between ocean and atmosphere and, hence, the ocean circulation models they contain—cannot be considered accurate reconstructions of Earth's climate system. I repeat my earlier assertion: <span style="font-weight: bold;">if the conveyor belt model is wrong then none of the IPCC's model results can be taken seriously</span>. This point is underscored by recent work that found small changes in high latitude insolation, driven by Earth's orbital cycles, can trigger significant changes in lower latitude ocean and atmospheric circulation. The circulation of Earth's oceans is now known to be much more complex and nuanced than even a decade ago, which has significant implications for climate modeling.<br />
<br />
This spate of recent discoveries serves to underline a fundamental tenet of science—that no theory, no matter how elegant or widely believed, is sacrosanct. As the great philosopher of science, Karl Popper, stated, science progresses by moving from one false theory to another, still false theory that is nonetheless closer to the truth. There is nothing wrong with dismissing the conveyor belt model for another, more correct model. In fact, a scientist incapable of realizing that a cherished, comfortable old theory is false and must be discarded is not capable of doing good science at all. Keeping that in mind, here is Lozier's summary of the case against the conveyor belt:<br />
<br />
<span style="font-style: italic;">Though appealing in its simplicity, the ocean conveyor-belt paradigm has lost luster over the years, precisely because it has overdistilled the complexity of the ocean’s overturning. This complexity has slowly been revealed as the ocean has increasingly been observed at finer scales in space and time and in places previously only sparsely sampled. As discussed, the ocean’s eddy field, unaccounted for just decades ago and now uncovered by measures at appropriate scales, figures prominently in the dismantling of the conveyor-belt paradigm. Another player in this dismantling is the ocean’s wind field. The traditional assignation of surface ocean gyres to wind-forcing and overturning to buoyancy forcing has ignored the vital impact of winds on overturning pathways and mechanics. As the study of the modern ocean’s role in climate continues apace, <span style="font-weight: bold;">the conveyor-belt model no longer serves the community well</span>— not because it is a gross oversimplification but because it ignores crucial structure and mechanics of the ocean’s intricate global overturning.</span></blockquote>
<br />
Interesting epistemological comments:<br />
<br />
<blockquote><cite>Quote:</cite>Sometimes science does advance one funeral at a time.</blockquote>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[From The Resilient Earth,<br />
<br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;"><span style="color: #0000CD;"><span style="font-size: large;"><a href="http://theresilientearth.com/?q=content/ocean-conveyor-belt-dismissed" target="_blank">Ocean Conveyor Belt Dismissed</a></span></span></span><br />
Submitted by Doug L. Hoffman on Tue, 06/29/2010 - 11:50 <br />
<br />
<blockquote><cite>Quote:</cite>This reinforces the claim that previous climate models—which are highly dependent on the coupling between ocean and atmosphere and, hence, the ocean circulation models they contain—cannot be considered accurate reconstructions of Earth's climate system. I repeat my earlier assertion: <span style="font-weight: bold;">if the conveyor belt model is wrong then none of the IPCC's model results can be taken seriously</span>. This point is underscored by recent work that found small changes in high latitude insolation, driven by Earth's orbital cycles, can trigger significant changes in lower latitude ocean and atmospheric circulation. The circulation of Earth's oceans is now known to be much more complex and nuanced than even a decade ago, which has significant implications for climate modeling.<br />
<br />
This spate of recent discoveries serves to underline a fundamental tenet of science—that no theory, no matter how elegant or widely believed, is sacrosanct. As the great philosopher of science, Karl Popper, stated, science progresses by moving from one false theory to another, still false theory that is nonetheless closer to the truth. There is nothing wrong with dismissing the conveyor belt model for another, more correct model. In fact, a scientist incapable of realizing that a cherished, comfortable old theory is false and must be discarded is not capable of doing good science at all. Keeping that in mind, here is Lozier's summary of the case against the conveyor belt:<br />
<br />
<span style="font-style: italic;">Though appealing in its simplicity, the ocean conveyor-belt paradigm has lost luster over the years, precisely because it has overdistilled the complexity of the ocean’s overturning. This complexity has slowly been revealed as the ocean has increasingly been observed at finer scales in space and time and in places previously only sparsely sampled. As discussed, the ocean’s eddy field, unaccounted for just decades ago and now uncovered by measures at appropriate scales, figures prominently in the dismantling of the conveyor-belt paradigm. Another player in this dismantling is the ocean’s wind field. The traditional assignation of surface ocean gyres to wind-forcing and overturning to buoyancy forcing has ignored the vital impact of winds on overturning pathways and mechanics. As the study of the modern ocean’s role in climate continues apace, <span style="font-weight: bold;">the conveyor-belt model no longer serves the community well</span>— not because it is a gross oversimplification but because it ignores crucial structure and mechanics of the ocean’s intricate global overturning.</span></blockquote>
<br />
Interesting epistemological comments:<br />
<br />
<blockquote><cite>Quote:</cite>Sometimes science does advance one funeral at a time.</blockquote>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[Some Physical Thoughts On AGW]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-778.html</link>
			<pubDate>Sun, 27 Jun 2010 14:30:53 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-778.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[SST just sent me an email asking where the heck I've been and many of you probably don't remember me but I'm a member at this board from "back in the day", so to speak. Well, I haven't been here in a while, and I really don't have a particularly good excuse. But, I've been <a href="http://devoidofnulls.wordpress.com/" target="_blank">blogging</a> on climate issues during some of that time, and I thought that folks here might be interesting in a few posts of mine:<br />
<br />
<a href="http://devoidofnulls.wordpress.com/2010/05/26/timescales-special-cases-limitations-etc/" target="_blank">Timescales, Special Cases, Limitations, Etc.</a><br />
<br />
<a href="http://devoidofnulls.wordpress.com/2010/06/08/how-does-climate-sensitivity-relate-to-radiation-flux/" target="_blank">How Does Climate Sensitivity Relate To Radiation Flux?</a><br />
<br />
The essence of these posts is the crucial issue of the <span style="font-style: italic;">sensitivity</span> of climate. While the idea that CO2 should cause some warming by increasing is, for the most part, accepted, the question of <span style="font-style: italic;">how much</span> is crucial. The first post questions whether the definition of this idea is really as broadly applicable as some seem to think. The second, deals with the possibility of estimating the sensitivity for conditions similar to the present directly from satellite data.<br />
<br />
I am also presently working on a post which looks at the Faint Young Sun Paradox, and the implications it appears to have for climate response. I have previously posted here on this topic, with <a href="http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-104.html" target="_blank">this thread</a>.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[SST just sent me an email asking where the heck I've been and many of you probably don't remember me but I'm a member at this board from "back in the day", so to speak. Well, I haven't been here in a while, and I really don't have a particularly good excuse. But, I've been <a href="http://devoidofnulls.wordpress.com/" target="_blank">blogging</a> on climate issues during some of that time, and I thought that folks here might be interesting in a few posts of mine:<br />
<br />
<a href="http://devoidofnulls.wordpress.com/2010/05/26/timescales-special-cases-limitations-etc/" target="_blank">Timescales, Special Cases, Limitations, Etc.</a><br />
<br />
<a href="http://devoidofnulls.wordpress.com/2010/06/08/how-does-climate-sensitivity-relate-to-radiation-flux/" target="_blank">How Does Climate Sensitivity Relate To Radiation Flux?</a><br />
<br />
The essence of these posts is the crucial issue of the <span style="font-style: italic;">sensitivity</span> of climate. While the idea that CO2 should cause some warming by increasing is, for the most part, accepted, the question of <span style="font-style: italic;">how much</span> is crucial. The first post questions whether the definition of this idea is really as broadly applicable as some seem to think. The second, deals with the possibility of estimating the sensitivity for conditions similar to the present directly from satellite data.<br />
<br />
I am also presently working on a post which looks at the Faint Young Sun Paradox, and the implications it appears to have for climate response. I have previously posted here on this topic, with <a href="http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-104.html" target="_blank">this thread</a>.]]></content:encoded>
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			<title><![CDATA[The Greenhouse Effect - A Few Cracked Panes]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-772.html</link>
			<pubDate>Fri, 25 Jun 2010 18:40:51 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-772.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[Although the cornerstone of the "greenhouse effect" is so-called "back-radiation" from "greenhouse gases" in the atmosphere, the foundation stone is the Stefan-Boltzmann law. The reason for all the quotation marks in the sentence is because without a correct application of the law, all those principles are without basis, and so are worthless.<br />
<br />
From: Earth’s Annual Global Mean Energy Budget, J. T. Kiehl and Kevin E. Trenberth, February 1997, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 78, 197-208 (<a href="http://www.geo.utexas.edu/courses/387h/PAPERS/kiehl.pdf)" target="_blank">http://www.geo.utexas.edu/courses/387h/P...kiehl.pdf)</a><br />
<br />
"For the outgoing fluxes, the surface infrared radiation of 390 W sq.m  corresponds to a blackbody emission at 15°C"<br />
<br />
At face value, this looks fine, except it assumes an ideal radiator, and radiation into surroundings at absolute zero (-273°C). The Stefan-Boltzmann law defines the radiation of a body as proportional to the 4th. power of the absolute temperature, multiplied by the emissivity (1 for an ideal radiator) for radiation into a vacuum. (see <a href="http://hyperphysics.phy-astr.gsu.edu/hbase/thermo/stefan.html)" target="_blank">http://hyperphysics.phy-astr.gsu.edu/hba...efan.html)</a> However, the earth's surface is not radiating into a vacuum, but into the atmosphere. For radiation into surroundings above absolute zero, the radiation is proportional to the absolute difference between the fourth powers of the two temperatures. This implies that if the temperature difference is zero or negative, there is no outgoing radiation. This is not surprising; a cooler body cannot heat a hotter body, neither can two bodies at the same temperature exchange heat or infrared radiation. These effects would violate the Second Law of Thermodynamics. The linked page has a calculator; emitter and surroundings temperatures and emissivity can be input to calculate radiation in Watts per sq.metre if the area of the emitter is set to 1. Given a surface temperature of 15°C with emissivity .9 and an atmosphere at 10°C, the surface would emit 23.79 W sq.m. This is far from the figures quoted on the "energy balance" diagrams of 390 or 396 W sq.m. In any case, the cooler atmosphere can't possibly heat the hotter surface.The Stefan-Boltzmann law doesn't allow radiative flux in the "negative" direction. A straight calculation using the emitter/surroundings temperatures gives a negative result!<br />
<br />
Kiehl and Trenberth (and others) back-calculate the temperature of the top-of-atmosphere (TOA) from the measured (by satellite) outgoing infrared radiation of 235 W sq.m as -19°C, assuming an ideal emissivity of 1. They then conclude that the surface would emit the same without an atmosphere despite the surface having a smaller area, and neither surface nor atmosphere having the ideal emissivity (likely to be more like 0.9 for land/water), and even then, not identical emissivities. The TOA isn't even a surface, but a layer. I can find no quoted figure for the emissivity at TOA, so I have no idea what the correctly calculated temperature at TOA might be. The assumed surface temperature of -19°C "without greenhouse effect" has to be wrong in any case. The Ideal Gas Law can be used to calculate the air temperature at the surface, assuming a nitrogen/oxygen/water-vapour atmosphere at a pressure of 1 bar. This gives about 15°C with no requirement for any input from the sun. A calculation for the atmosphere of Venus (surface pressure 93 bar) gives a result close to the observed surface temperature. The difference can be explained by the unique atmospheric conditions on the planet; there is no need for any "greenhouse" effect calculations. Indeed, with an atmosphere similar to that on Earth, the calculated temperature is around 200°C hotter.<br />
<br />
The "greenhouse effect" is a failed hypothesis; if its proponents employed real physics instead of misapplied laws and bad assumptions it would fall apart. The panes of the  greenhouse are cracked; those that aren't cracked are missing.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[Although the cornerstone of the "greenhouse effect" is so-called "back-radiation" from "greenhouse gases" in the atmosphere, the foundation stone is the Stefan-Boltzmann law. The reason for all the quotation marks in the sentence is because without a correct application of the law, all those principles are without basis, and so are worthless.<br />
<br />
From: Earth’s Annual Global Mean Energy Budget, J. T. Kiehl and Kevin E. Trenberth, February 1997, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 78, 197-208 (<a href="http://www.geo.utexas.edu/courses/387h/PAPERS/kiehl.pdf)" target="_blank">http://www.geo.utexas.edu/courses/387h/P...kiehl.pdf)</a><br />
<br />
"For the outgoing fluxes, the surface infrared radiation of 390 W sq.m  corresponds to a blackbody emission at 15°C"<br />
<br />
At face value, this looks fine, except it assumes an ideal radiator, and radiation into surroundings at absolute zero (-273°C). The Stefan-Boltzmann law defines the radiation of a body as proportional to the 4th. power of the absolute temperature, multiplied by the emissivity (1 for an ideal radiator) for radiation into a vacuum. (see <a href="http://hyperphysics.phy-astr.gsu.edu/hbase/thermo/stefan.html)" target="_blank">http://hyperphysics.phy-astr.gsu.edu/hba...efan.html)</a> However, the earth's surface is not radiating into a vacuum, but into the atmosphere. For radiation into surroundings above absolute zero, the radiation is proportional to the absolute difference between the fourth powers of the two temperatures. This implies that if the temperature difference is zero or negative, there is no outgoing radiation. This is not surprising; a cooler body cannot heat a hotter body, neither can two bodies at the same temperature exchange heat or infrared radiation. These effects would violate the Second Law of Thermodynamics. The linked page has a calculator; emitter and surroundings temperatures and emissivity can be input to calculate radiation in Watts per sq.metre if the area of the emitter is set to 1. Given a surface temperature of 15°C with emissivity .9 and an atmosphere at 10°C, the surface would emit 23.79 W sq.m. This is far from the figures quoted on the "energy balance" diagrams of 390 or 396 W sq.m. In any case, the cooler atmosphere can't possibly heat the hotter surface.The Stefan-Boltzmann law doesn't allow radiative flux in the "negative" direction. A straight calculation using the emitter/surroundings temperatures gives a negative result!<br />
<br />
Kiehl and Trenberth (and others) back-calculate the temperature of the top-of-atmosphere (TOA) from the measured (by satellite) outgoing infrared radiation of 235 W sq.m as -19°C, assuming an ideal emissivity of 1. They then conclude that the surface would emit the same without an atmosphere despite the surface having a smaller area, and neither surface nor atmosphere having the ideal emissivity (likely to be more like 0.9 for land/water), and even then, not identical emissivities. The TOA isn't even a surface, but a layer. I can find no quoted figure for the emissivity at TOA, so I have no idea what the correctly calculated temperature at TOA might be. The assumed surface temperature of -19°C "without greenhouse effect" has to be wrong in any case. The Ideal Gas Law can be used to calculate the air temperature at the surface, assuming a nitrogen/oxygen/water-vapour atmosphere at a pressure of 1 bar. This gives about 15°C with no requirement for any input from the sun. A calculation for the atmosphere of Venus (surface pressure 93 bar) gives a result close to the observed surface temperature. The difference can be explained by the unique atmospheric conditions on the planet; there is no need for any "greenhouse" effect calculations. Indeed, with an atmosphere similar to that on Earth, the calculated temperature is around 200°C hotter.<br />
<br />
The "greenhouse effect" is a failed hypothesis; if its proponents employed real physics instead of misapplied laws and bad assumptions it would fall apart. The panes of the  greenhouse are cracked; those that aren't cracked are missing.]]></content:encoded>
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			<title><![CDATA[A Climate of Belief]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-770.html</link>
			<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jun 2010 14:00:33 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-770.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[Skeptic<br />
<br />
<span style="font-style: italic;"><span style="font-size: medium;">The claim that anthropogenic CO2 is responsible for the current warming of Earth climate is scientifically insupportable because climate models are unreliable</span></span><br />
<br />
by Patrick Frank <br />
<br />
EXCERPT:<br />
<br />
<span style="font-style: italic;">“He who refuses to do arithmetic is doomed to talk nonsense.” <br />
<br />
— John McCarthy1 <br />
<br />
“The latest scientific data confirm that the earth’s climate is rapidly changing. … The cause? A thickening layer of carbon dioxide pollution, mostly from power plants and automobiles, that traps heat in the atmosphere. … [A]verage U.S. temperatures could rise another 3 to 9 degrees by the end of the century … Sea levels will rise, [and h]eat waves will be more frequent and more intense. Droughts and wildfires will occur more often. Disease-carrying mosquitoes will expand their range. And species will be pushed to extinction.” </span><br />
<br />
So says the National Resources Defense Council,2 with agreement by the Sierra Club,3 Greenpeace,4 National Geographic,5 the US National Academy of Sciences,6 and the US Congressional House leadership.7 Concurrent views are widespread,8 as a visit to the internet or any good bookstore will verify. <br />
<br />
Since at least the 1995 Second Assessment Report, the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has been making increasingly assured statements that human-produced carbon dioxide (CO2) is influencing the climate, and is the chief cause of the global warming trend in evidence since about 1900. The current level of atmospheric CO2 is about 390 parts per million by volume (ppmv), or 0.039% by volume of the atmosphere, and in 1900 was about 295 ppmv. If the 20th century trend continues unabated, by about 2050 atmospheric CO2 will have doubled to about 600 ppmv. This is the basis for the usual “doubled CO2” scenario. <br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.skeptic.com/the_magazine/featured_articles/v14n01_climate_of_belief.html" target="_blank">LINK</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[Skeptic<br />
<br />
<span style="font-style: italic;"><span style="font-size: medium;">The claim that anthropogenic CO2 is responsible for the current warming of Earth climate is scientifically insupportable because climate models are unreliable</span></span><br />
<br />
by Patrick Frank <br />
<br />
EXCERPT:<br />
<br />
<span style="font-style: italic;">“He who refuses to do arithmetic is doomed to talk nonsense.” <br />
<br />
— John McCarthy1 <br />
<br />
“The latest scientific data confirm that the earth’s climate is rapidly changing. … The cause? A thickening layer of carbon dioxide pollution, mostly from power plants and automobiles, that traps heat in the atmosphere. … [A]verage U.S. temperatures could rise another 3 to 9 degrees by the end of the century … Sea levels will rise, [and h]eat waves will be more frequent and more intense. Droughts and wildfires will occur more often. Disease-carrying mosquitoes will expand their range. And species will be pushed to extinction.” </span><br />
<br />
So says the National Resources Defense Council,2 with agreement by the Sierra Club,3 Greenpeace,4 National Geographic,5 the US National Academy of Sciences,6 and the US Congressional House leadership.7 Concurrent views are widespread,8 as a visit to the internet or any good bookstore will verify. <br />
<br />
Since at least the 1995 Second Assessment Report, the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has been making increasingly assured statements that human-produced carbon dioxide (CO2) is influencing the climate, and is the chief cause of the global warming trend in evidence since about 1900. The current level of atmospheric CO2 is about 390 parts per million by volume (ppmv), or 0.039% by volume of the atmosphere, and in 1900 was about 295 ppmv. If the 20th century trend continues unabated, by about 2050 atmospheric CO2 will have doubled to about 600 ppmv. This is the basis for the usual “doubled CO2” scenario. <br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.skeptic.com/the_magazine/featured_articles/v14n01_climate_of_belief.html" target="_blank">LINK</a>]]></content:encoded>
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			<title><![CDATA[Discussions of Climate - Where's the Physics?]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-767.html</link>
			<pubDate>Tue, 22 Jun 2010 13:03:09 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-767.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[I've spent more than five years delving into the intricacies of the climate, the "Greenhouse Effect" and AGW. I've had a few "eureka" moments when I've spotted major flaws in the arguments - on BOTH sides. What amazes me more and more is apparently well educated and rational scientists discussing, arguing over and publishing papers on complete irrelevancies.<br />
<br />
A prime example of this is the reliance on the Stefan-Boltzmann law used to estimate the effective temperature of the earth, with or without an atmosphere. The earth does not function as an ideal black body, far from it. It is not totally absorbing of radiation, and the surface is most certainly not flat. Applying the law to a multi-layered almost transparent low-absorbant gaseous atmosphere is completely ridiculous, and yet it is routinely done, and the results of calculations taken at face value. Because the energy radiated by a black body depends on the fourth power of the absolute temperature, even small deviations from the ideal state lead to relatively large differences in radiated energy. Working backwards, calculating temperature from incident radiation involves even more error, due to uncertainties in atmospheric absorption, albedo etc. It's akin to measuring a swimming pool to the nearest metre, estimating the volume of water in it as 50,000 litres, adding a litre of water and declaring the new volume to be 50,001 litres. A more humourous example is the museum attendant who was asked how old a dinosaur skeleton was. "Twenty million and three years" he said. When asked how the age was known with such accuracy, he replied "They told me it was twenty million years old when I started work here, three years ago".<br />
<br />
Were these calculations done merely to illustrate a "broad brush" approach to estimating the temperature of the earth/atmosphere system for a school physics textbook, there'd be no issue here. However, although there are large margins for error, they're used to calculate tiny differences in the earth's energy budget, often involving fractions of a watt/sq.m leading to tenths or even hundredths of a degree temperature difference.<br />
<br />
When I first saw an earth/atmosphere "energy budget" diagram I was impressed. It looked like a lot of detailed science had gone into it. The figures on it certainly give that impression - "Incoming radiation 341.3 watts/sq.m", "Reflected by surface 23", "Net absorbed 0.9". Knowing the uncertainties in the albedo of clouds, cloud extent, earth albedo, atmospheric absorption etc., that 0.9 figure is the equivalent of the one litre added to the swimming pool. The error bar on it must be +/- 10 at least, if indeed such an imbalance exists. Of course, the 0.9 figure is calculated or estimated elsewhere, and the figures on the diagram adjusted to show a net imbalance of that amount.<br />
<br />
The energy diagram I have shows the earth's surface radiating 396 watts/sq.m at 15 Celcius. The room I'm sitting in is 5x4 metres, and the temperature is currently 22°C, so the floor alone should be emitting something like 8.5Kw. I must be missing something here, or perhaps it's just lucky my shoes have got thick soles? If materials lost most heat through radiation, it would be easy to construct an unpowered refrigerator. An insulated box which allowed infrared to escape but not enter would cool food in a matter of minutes if these radiation figures were correct.<br />
<br />
Scientists tell us that the earth (with atmosphere) radiates about 235 watts/sq.metre into space (long-wave infrared), as measured by satellite. They then tell us that the Stephan-Boltzmann law says that an object at -19°C emits 235 watts/sq.m black body radiation, therefore the temperature of the earth WITH an atmosphere but without greenhouse gases would be -19°C. Errm - but it was measured WITH an atmosphere WITH greenhouse gases, and the surface temperature is most certainly NOT -19°C. The -19°C of course is the calculated top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) temperature where the radiation originates, NOT the surface temperature. The temperature of the air mixture at 1 bar is not surprisingly 15°C, the same law defining the temperature on Venus at 93 bar of around 470°C - nothing to do with CO2's "greenhouse" effect. In fact the Venus temperature would be about 200° higher with an air atmosphere (which is largely bi-atomic molecules, as opposed to CO2 which is tri-atomic).<br />
<br />
The energy diagram is totally bogus. There cannot be any net "back radiation" from the atmosphere, which has (even with greenhouse gases) low heat content, and radiates in all directions.This radiation cancels out, as it is flux which is a vector quantity. Flux between the surface and the lower atmosphere also largely cancels out. Heat transport from the surface to the atmosphere is almost entirely due to conduction/convection, not radiation. Also the "near-earth" temperature 15°C (2m in a screen) is confused with the SURFACE temperature, which HAS to be higher, or there'd be no net energy transfer to the atmosphere via conduction and convection, and no weather. Apologists tell us that surfaces are poor at conducting heat to gases, and that most energy transfer is via radiation. Time to redesign hot-water (central) heating systems, vehicle cooling systems, finned coolers of all kinds and glass vacuum (Dewar) flasks then, seems the engineers got it wrong.<br />
<br />
Billions of words and millions of articles, books, blog and forum posts discuss the "Greenhouse Effect" ad nauseam, and to no effect. We are told that the atmosphere is almost entirely opaque to long-wave infrared radiation, and so it is. How then does the "back radiation" penetrate this opaque atmosphere to bathe the earth's surface in a rosy glow? If it was absorbed on the way up, it'll be absorbed on the way down. The net effect is nil. The irony is that the atmosphere doesn't warm the earth at all, it COOLS it. A radically adjusted Stephan-Boltzmann expression which actually bears some relation to reality gives a surface temperature of 55°C. The warmed air in contact with the ground expands and rises, cooler air replaces it. The heat energy is transported upwards, and is eventually lost to space as infrared radiation. The convection and therefore heat transport is increased because water vapour and other "greenhouse" gases absorb the relatively small amount of infrared emitted by the surface, and also because they have a higher specific heat..The GHGs don't retain the excess energy but release it almost immediately by collision with other molecules, which are mostly not GHGs. That surface of course, conducts quite a lot of the heat downwards, cooling it further, and releasing that heat at night, reducing the otherwise sharp temperature drop. The "Energy Budget" diagram is a fabrication, and the "Greenhouse Effect" is a myth.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[I've spent more than five years delving into the intricacies of the climate, the "Greenhouse Effect" and AGW. I've had a few "eureka" moments when I've spotted major flaws in the arguments - on BOTH sides. What amazes me more and more is apparently well educated and rational scientists discussing, arguing over and publishing papers on complete irrelevancies.<br />
<br />
A prime example of this is the reliance on the Stefan-Boltzmann law used to estimate the effective temperature of the earth, with or without an atmosphere. The earth does not function as an ideal black body, far from it. It is not totally absorbing of radiation, and the surface is most certainly not flat. Applying the law to a multi-layered almost transparent low-absorbant gaseous atmosphere is completely ridiculous, and yet it is routinely done, and the results of calculations taken at face value. Because the energy radiated by a black body depends on the fourth power of the absolute temperature, even small deviations from the ideal state lead to relatively large differences in radiated energy. Working backwards, calculating temperature from incident radiation involves even more error, due to uncertainties in atmospheric absorption, albedo etc. It's akin to measuring a swimming pool to the nearest metre, estimating the volume of water in it as 50,000 litres, adding a litre of water and declaring the new volume to be 50,001 litres. A more humourous example is the museum attendant who was asked how old a dinosaur skeleton was. "Twenty million and three years" he said. When asked how the age was known with such accuracy, he replied "They told me it was twenty million years old when I started work here, three years ago".<br />
<br />
Were these calculations done merely to illustrate a "broad brush" approach to estimating the temperature of the earth/atmosphere system for a school physics textbook, there'd be no issue here. However, although there are large margins for error, they're used to calculate tiny differences in the earth's energy budget, often involving fractions of a watt/sq.m leading to tenths or even hundredths of a degree temperature difference.<br />
<br />
When I first saw an earth/atmosphere "energy budget" diagram I was impressed. It looked like a lot of detailed science had gone into it. The figures on it certainly give that impression - "Incoming radiation 341.3 watts/sq.m", "Reflected by surface 23", "Net absorbed 0.9". Knowing the uncertainties in the albedo of clouds, cloud extent, earth albedo, atmospheric absorption etc., that 0.9 figure is the equivalent of the one litre added to the swimming pool. The error bar on it must be +/- 10 at least, if indeed such an imbalance exists. Of course, the 0.9 figure is calculated or estimated elsewhere, and the figures on the diagram adjusted to show a net imbalance of that amount.<br />
<br />
The energy diagram I have shows the earth's surface radiating 396 watts/sq.m at 15 Celcius. The room I'm sitting in is 5x4 metres, and the temperature is currently 22°C, so the floor alone should be emitting something like 8.5Kw. I must be missing something here, or perhaps it's just lucky my shoes have got thick soles? If materials lost most heat through radiation, it would be easy to construct an unpowered refrigerator. An insulated box which allowed infrared to escape but not enter would cool food in a matter of minutes if these radiation figures were correct.<br />
<br />
Scientists tell us that the earth (with atmosphere) radiates about 235 watts/sq.metre into space (long-wave infrared), as measured by satellite. They then tell us that the Stephan-Boltzmann law says that an object at -19°C emits 235 watts/sq.m black body radiation, therefore the temperature of the earth WITH an atmosphere but without greenhouse gases would be -19°C. Errm - but it was measured WITH an atmosphere WITH greenhouse gases, and the surface temperature is most certainly NOT -19°C. The -19°C of course is the calculated top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) temperature where the radiation originates, NOT the surface temperature. The temperature of the air mixture at 1 bar is not surprisingly 15°C, the same law defining the temperature on Venus at 93 bar of around 470°C - nothing to do with CO2's "greenhouse" effect. In fact the Venus temperature would be about 200° higher with an air atmosphere (which is largely bi-atomic molecules, as opposed to CO2 which is tri-atomic).<br />
<br />
The energy diagram is totally bogus. There cannot be any net "back radiation" from the atmosphere, which has (even with greenhouse gases) low heat content, and radiates in all directions.This radiation cancels out, as it is flux which is a vector quantity. Flux between the surface and the lower atmosphere also largely cancels out. Heat transport from the surface to the atmosphere is almost entirely due to conduction/convection, not radiation. Also the "near-earth" temperature 15°C (2m in a screen) is confused with the SURFACE temperature, which HAS to be higher, or there'd be no net energy transfer to the atmosphere via conduction and convection, and no weather. Apologists tell us that surfaces are poor at conducting heat to gases, and that most energy transfer is via radiation. Time to redesign hot-water (central) heating systems, vehicle cooling systems, finned coolers of all kinds and glass vacuum (Dewar) flasks then, seems the engineers got it wrong.<br />
<br />
Billions of words and millions of articles, books, blog and forum posts discuss the "Greenhouse Effect" ad nauseam, and to no effect. We are told that the atmosphere is almost entirely opaque to long-wave infrared radiation, and so it is. How then does the "back radiation" penetrate this opaque atmosphere to bathe the earth's surface in a rosy glow? If it was absorbed on the way up, it'll be absorbed on the way down. The net effect is nil. The irony is that the atmosphere doesn't warm the earth at all, it COOLS it. A radically adjusted Stephan-Boltzmann expression which actually bears some relation to reality gives a surface temperature of 55°C. The warmed air in contact with the ground expands and rises, cooler air replaces it. The heat energy is transported upwards, and is eventually lost to space as infrared radiation. The convection and therefore heat transport is increased because water vapour and other "greenhouse" gases absorb the relatively small amount of infrared emitted by the surface, and also because they have a higher specific heat..The GHGs don't retain the excess energy but release it almost immediately by collision with other molecules, which are mostly not GHGs. That surface of course, conducts quite a lot of the heat downwards, cooling it further, and releasing that heat at night, reducing the otherwise sharp temperature drop. The "Energy Budget" diagram is a fabrication, and the "Greenhouse Effect" is a myth.]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[Humans Are Not Responsible for Global Warming]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-766.html</link>
			<pubDate>Sun, 20 Jun 2010 15:06:48 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-766.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[This is a good and easy to read paper.  It puts global warming into context with geological phenomena.  The AGW consensus hate it because it attacks much of what they claim.  Unfortunately it is all too readily dismissed by the alarmists because of links to 'Big Oil' and is not as widely cited as it ought to be.<br />
<br />
Anyway, read on:<br />
Humans Are Not Responsible for Global Warming!<br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.pe.tamu.edu/DL_Program/graduate_seminar_series/SPE-109292-MS-P.pdf" target="_blank">http://www.pe.tamu.edu/DL_Program/gradua...2-MS-P.pdf</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[This is a good and easy to read paper.  It puts global warming into context with geological phenomena.  The AGW consensus hate it because it attacks much of what they claim.  Unfortunately it is all too readily dismissed by the alarmists because of links to 'Big Oil' and is not as widely cited as it ought to be.<br />
<br />
Anyway, read on:<br />
Humans Are Not Responsible for Global Warming!<br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.pe.tamu.edu/DL_Program/graduate_seminar_series/SPE-109292-MS-P.pdf" target="_blank">http://www.pe.tamu.edu/DL_Program/gradua...2-MS-P.pdf</a>]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[The phase relations among atmospheric CO2 content, temperature and global ice volume]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-765.html</link>
			<pubDate>Sun, 20 Jun 2010 11:38:26 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-765.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[<a href="http://www.google.com/#hl=en&amp;source=hp&amp;q=The+phase+relations+among+atmospheric+CO2+content%2C+temperature+and+globa&#8203;l+ice+volume+&amp;btnG=Google+Search&amp;aq=f&amp;aqi=&amp;aql=&amp;oq=&amp;gs_rfai=&amp;fp=f6f642595e92e50c" target="_blank">GOOGLE LINK<br />
</a><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #FF0000;">Click on the PDF link </span><br />
<br />
Interesting presentation.<br />
<br />
It is a 7 page PDF<br />
<br />
Excerpt from page 6:<br />
<br />
<blockquote><cite>Quote:</cite>Recently Shackleton (2000) argued that d18O!*3 has<br />
actually a better ice-volume proxy quality than d18O.!3.<br />
Constructing a new, tuned Vostok timescale and using<br />
phase spectral estimations, he found that variations in<br />
atmospheric CO2, Vostok air temperature, and orbital<br />
eccentricity, at 100 ka period, were nearly synchronous<br />
over the past 420 ka and lead over ice-volume variations<br />
by 14&#36;2.5 (1 sigma) ka. As regards the results of the<br />
present study, his estimation uncertainty is too high to<br />
detect the lead of temperature relative to CO2 variations<br />
(Section 3.1) whereas his estimated lag of ice-volume<br />
variations, though of the same sign as estimated here<br />
(Sections 3.2 and 3.3), is clearly larger. This discrepancy<br />
might be resolved considering that (1) Shackleton's phase<br />
estimations were made relative to ETP (a mixture of<br />
eccentricity, tilt and precession)*thus, the high stratigraphic<br />
accuracy of d18O!*3 relative to CO2 (Section 3.3)<br />
was not used; (2) the uncertainty reported by him seems<br />
not to take into account timescale inaccuracies; (3) he<br />
used an atmospheric turnover time of 1.0 ka (we used 2.0<br />
ka, Section 4); and (4) the lag estimated here is an average<br />
over the periods of variation.</blockquote>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<a href="http://www.google.com/#hl=en&amp;source=hp&amp;q=The+phase+relations+among+atmospheric+CO2+content%2C+temperature+and+globa&#8203;l+ice+volume+&amp;btnG=Google+Search&amp;aq=f&amp;aqi=&amp;aql=&amp;oq=&amp;gs_rfai=&amp;fp=f6f642595e92e50c" target="_blank">GOOGLE LINK<br />
</a><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #FF0000;">Click on the PDF link </span><br />
<br />
Interesting presentation.<br />
<br />
It is a 7 page PDF<br />
<br />
Excerpt from page 6:<br />
<br />
<blockquote><cite>Quote:</cite>Recently Shackleton (2000) argued that d18O!*3 has<br />
actually a better ice-volume proxy quality than d18O.!3.<br />
Constructing a new, tuned Vostok timescale and using<br />
phase spectral estimations, he found that variations in<br />
atmospheric CO2, Vostok air temperature, and orbital<br />
eccentricity, at 100 ka period, were nearly synchronous<br />
over the past 420 ka and lead over ice-volume variations<br />
by 14&#36;2.5 (1 sigma) ka. As regards the results of the<br />
present study, his estimation uncertainty is too high to<br />
detect the lead of temperature relative to CO2 variations<br />
(Section 3.1) whereas his estimated lag of ice-volume<br />
variations, though of the same sign as estimated here<br />
(Sections 3.2 and 3.3), is clearly larger. This discrepancy<br />
might be resolved considering that (1) Shackleton's phase<br />
estimations were made relative to ETP (a mixture of<br />
eccentricity, tilt and precession)*thus, the high stratigraphic<br />
accuracy of d18O!*3 relative to CO2 (Section 3.3)<br />
was not used; (2) the uncertainty reported by him seems<br />
not to take into account timescale inaccuracies; (3) he<br />
used an atmospheric turnover time of 1.0 ka (we used 2.0<br />
ka, Section 4); and (4) the lag estimated here is an average<br />
over the periods of variation.</blockquote>
]]></content:encoded>
		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[Guessing At CO2 Emissions]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-746.html</link>
			<pubDate>Mon, 07 Jun 2010 19:56:40 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-746.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[The Resilient Earth<br />
<br />
Submitted by Doug L. Hoffman on Fri, 06/04/2010 <br />
<br />
EXCERPT:<br />
<br />
Supposedly, human activity is responsible for the detected rise in atmospheric CO2 levels over the past century. But do we really know were gas emissions come from and how great they are? As it turns out, greenhouse gas emissions are measured using statistical data without testing the results against the actual increases of these gases in the atmosphere. Regardless, climate change alarmists insist that human emissions must be reduced. A revealing perspective article in the June 4, 2010, issue of Science states “this is like dieting without weighing oneself.” Currently, science is only guessing at where CO2 emissions come from.<br />
<br />
<a href="http://theresilientearth.com/?q=content/guessing-co2-emissions" target="_blank">LINK</a><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #0000CD;"><br />
The Science paper summary from Science publications is below.The full paper is available if you want to pay for it.</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;">Science</span><br />
<br />
Science 4 June 2010:<br />
Vol. 328. no. 5983, pp. 1241 - 1243<br />
DOI: 10.1126/science.1189936<br />
<br />
Euan Nisbet1 and Ray Weiss2<br />
<br />
Greenhouse gas emissions are currently quantified from statistical data without testing the results against the actual increases of these gases in the atmosphere. This is like dieting without weighing oneself. Data are produced by greenhouse gas emitters of all sizes, from factory or farm to nation, and are quoted to high precision—yet misreporting occurs, whether by simple error, ignorance, or intention. But now scientists on both sides of the Atlantic are arguing that regulation of greenhouse gas emissions can have integrity only if verified by direct atmospheric measurements (1, 2). <br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/summary/328/5983/1241" target="_blank">LINK</a><br />
========================================================<br />
<br />
<span style="color: #0000CD;">Thus we have now come full circle.<br />
</span><br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;">ROFLMAO!</span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[The Resilient Earth<br />
<br />
Submitted by Doug L. Hoffman on Fri, 06/04/2010 <br />
<br />
EXCERPT:<br />
<br />
Supposedly, human activity is responsible for the detected rise in atmospheric CO2 levels over the past century. But do we really know were gas emissions come from and how great they are? As it turns out, greenhouse gas emissions are measured using statistical data without testing the results against the actual increases of these gases in the atmosphere. Regardless, climate change alarmists insist that human emissions must be reduced. A revealing perspective article in the June 4, 2010, issue of Science states “this is like dieting without weighing oneself.” Currently, science is only guessing at where CO2 emissions come from.<br />
<br />
<a href="http://theresilientearth.com/?q=content/guessing-co2-emissions" target="_blank">LINK</a><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #0000CD;"><br />
The Science paper summary from Science publications is below.The full paper is available if you want to pay for it.</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;">Science</span><br />
<br />
Science 4 June 2010:<br />
Vol. 328. no. 5983, pp. 1241 - 1243<br />
DOI: 10.1126/science.1189936<br />
<br />
Euan Nisbet1 and Ray Weiss2<br />
<br />
Greenhouse gas emissions are currently quantified from statistical data without testing the results against the actual increases of these gases in the atmosphere. This is like dieting without weighing oneself. Data are produced by greenhouse gas emitters of all sizes, from factory or farm to nation, and are quoted to high precision—yet misreporting occurs, whether by simple error, ignorance, or intention. But now scientists on both sides of the Atlantic are arguing that regulation of greenhouse gas emissions can have integrity only if verified by direct atmospheric measurements (1, 2). <br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/summary/328/5983/1241" target="_blank">LINK</a><br />
========================================================<br />
<br />
<span style="color: #0000CD;">Thus we have now come full circle.<br />
</span><br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;">ROFLMAO!</span>]]></content:encoded>
		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[Why Carbon Dioxide is Not a Greenhouse Gas]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-729.html</link>
			<pubDate>Wed, 26 May 2010 18:50:59 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-729.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[Associated Content<br />
<br />
Published August 26, <span style="color: #FF0000;">2008</span> by:<br />
<br />
William Pinn<br />
<br />
Excerpt:<br />
<br />
I'm sitting here typing on my computer and basking in the coolness of another summer day here in Roseville, California. Did I say coolness? Yes I did. You see, we folks in Roseville are experiencing a summer with<br />
 record cool temperatures.<br />
<br />
It is times like these when I think of the global-warming issue and the one variable that is allegedly the sole cause of global warming: carbon dioxide (CO2).<br />
<br />
It is always been my understanding that climate change involves a lot more variables thus making predictions about future temperatures difficult; however, supposedly a majority of scientists believe that CO2 is in fact a greenhouse gas and the only variable worth considering.<br />
<a href="http://www.associatedcontent.com/article/986406/why_carbon_dioxide_is_not_a_greenhouse.html?cat=58" target="_blank"><br />
LINK</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[Associated Content<br />
<br />
Published August 26, <span style="color: #FF0000;">2008</span> by:<br />
<br />
William Pinn<br />
<br />
Excerpt:<br />
<br />
I'm sitting here typing on my computer and basking in the coolness of another summer day here in Roseville, California. Did I say coolness? Yes I did. You see, we folks in Roseville are experiencing a summer with<br />
 record cool temperatures.<br />
<br />
It is times like these when I think of the global-warming issue and the one variable that is allegedly the sole cause of global warming: carbon dioxide (CO2).<br />
<br />
It is always been my understanding that climate change involves a lot more variables thus making predictions about future temperatures difficult; however, supposedly a majority of scientists believe that CO2 is in fact a greenhouse gas and the only variable worth considering.<br />
<a href="http://www.associatedcontent.com/article/986406/why_carbon_dioxide_is_not_a_greenhouse.html?cat=58" target="_blank"><br />
LINK</a>]]></content:encoded>
		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[Greenhouse effect on our moon?]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-727.html</link>
			<pubDate>Mon, 24 May 2010 10:11:22 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-727.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[From Hans Schreuder:<br />
<br />
<blockquote><cite>Quote:</cite>Yes, that's right, there is a "greenhouse effect" on our moon and it's even greater than here on earth.<br />
 <br />
The idea of an atmospheric "greenhouse effect" was invented to justify why earth is supposedly "warmer than it should be" if there was no atmosphere.<br />
 <br />
<br />
As we now know from NASA's research, even our moon is "warmer than it should be", by a whopping 40 degrees C where earth is a mere 33 degrees "warmer".<br />
<br />
    "We’ve been told that the earth's surface is quite a bit warmer than calculations predict. Theory has it that heat-trapping “greenhouse gases” account for a 33° Celsius disparity. But it turns out that our airless moon is also quite a bit warmer than predicted. Might something be wrong with the prediction method itself, then? It's a natural question to ask, so let's look into it."<br />
<br />
     <br />
<br />
    "The Earth is not “unusually” warm. It is the application of the predictive equation that is faulty. The ability of common substances to store heat makes a mockery of blackbody estimates. The belief that radiating trace gases explain why earth's surface temperature deviates from a simple mathematical formula is based on deeply erroneous assumptions about theoretical vs. real bodies."<br />
<br />
The justification for calculating the temperature that earth "should be at" is shown to be incorrect. It's based on a formula that is used to convert irradiation levels to temperature and vice versa, based on a blackbody. Earth nor any planet that we know of behaves like a blackbody. All planets literally absorb some of the solar heat during daytime and emit some of that during nighttime. Our moon is the perfect example of that: it has no atmosphere and receives as good as the same level of irradiation as earth does.<br />
 <br />
Our atmosphere is shown to act as a coolant during the day and a retarder of cooling during the nighttime; the amount of retardation depending on the relative humidity of the atmosphere, which in turn determines the total heat content of a given volume of the atmosphere.<br />
 <br />
But at all times our atmosphere acts as a conveyor of heat, never a creator of heat.<br />
 <br />
This essay puts it into perspective.<br />
 <br />
It does not matter what our atmosphere is made of, it is the surface, including the oceans, that makes it "warmer than it should be".<br />
 <br />
And yes, seeing that carbon dioxide is actually a good radiator, the only possible effect it can have on the atmosphere is to increase its cooling efficiency; it can't possibly make the atmosphere warmer. Adding a coolant gas to a coolant atmosphere, what else could you expect?<br />
 <br />
Please spread this paper far and wide, as it clearly proves by means of direct observations that no atmosphere is needed to be "warmer than calculated".<br />
 <br />
Nothing to do with CO2 after all.<br />
 <br />
Hans Schreuder<br />
<a href="http://www.ilovemycarbondioxide.com" target="_blank">http://www.ilovemycarbondioxide.com</a></blockquote>
<br /><!-- start: postbit_attachments_attachment -->
<br /><img src="images/attachtypes/pdf.gif" border="0" alt=".pdf" />&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href="attachment.php?aid=138" target="_blank">Greenhouse_Effect_on_the_Moon.pdf</a> (Size: 317.14 KB / Downloads: 10)
<!-- end: postbit_attachments_attachment -->]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[From Hans Schreuder:<br />
<br />
<blockquote><cite>Quote:</cite>Yes, that's right, there is a "greenhouse effect" on our moon and it's even greater than here on earth.<br />
 <br />
The idea of an atmospheric "greenhouse effect" was invented to justify why earth is supposedly "warmer than it should be" if there was no atmosphere.<br />
 <br />
<br />
As we now know from NASA's research, even our moon is "warmer than it should be", by a whopping 40 degrees C where earth is a mere 33 degrees "warmer".<br />
<br />
    "We’ve been told that the earth's surface is quite a bit warmer than calculations predict. Theory has it that heat-trapping “greenhouse gases” account for a 33° Celsius disparity. But it turns out that our airless moon is also quite a bit warmer than predicted. Might something be wrong with the prediction method itself, then? It's a natural question to ask, so let's look into it."<br />
<br />
     <br />
<br />
    "The Earth is not “unusually” warm. It is the application of the predictive equation that is faulty. The ability of common substances to store heat makes a mockery of blackbody estimates. The belief that radiating trace gases explain why earth's surface temperature deviates from a simple mathematical formula is based on deeply erroneous assumptions about theoretical vs. real bodies."<br />
<br />
The justification for calculating the temperature that earth "should be at" is shown to be incorrect. It's based on a formula that is used to convert irradiation levels to temperature and vice versa, based on a blackbody. Earth nor any planet that we know of behaves like a blackbody. All planets literally absorb some of the solar heat during daytime and emit some of that during nighttime. Our moon is the perfect example of that: it has no atmosphere and receives as good as the same level of irradiation as earth does.<br />
 <br />
Our atmosphere is shown to act as a coolant during the day and a retarder of cooling during the nighttime; the amount of retardation depending on the relative humidity of the atmosphere, which in turn determines the total heat content of a given volume of the atmosphere.<br />
 <br />
But at all times our atmosphere acts as a conveyor of heat, never a creator of heat.<br />
 <br />
This essay puts it into perspective.<br />
 <br />
It does not matter what our atmosphere is made of, it is the surface, including the oceans, that makes it "warmer than it should be".<br />
 <br />
And yes, seeing that carbon dioxide is actually a good radiator, the only possible effect it can have on the atmosphere is to increase its cooling efficiency; it can't possibly make the atmosphere warmer. Adding a coolant gas to a coolant atmosphere, what else could you expect?<br />
 <br />
Please spread this paper far and wide, as it clearly proves by means of direct observations that no atmosphere is needed to be "warmer than calculated".<br />
 <br />
Nothing to do with CO2 after all.<br />
 <br />
Hans Schreuder<br />
<a href="http://www.ilovemycarbondioxide.com" target="_blank">http://www.ilovemycarbondioxide.com</a></blockquote>
<br /><!-- start: postbit_attachments_attachment -->
<br /><img src="images/attachtypes/pdf.gif" border="0" alt=".pdf" />&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href="attachment.php?aid=138" target="_blank">Greenhouse_Effect_on_the_Moon.pdf</a> (Size: 317.14 KB / Downloads: 10)
<!-- end: postbit_attachments_attachment -->]]></content:encoded>
		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[Yes, the Ocean Has Warmed; No, It’s Not ‘Global Warming’]]></title>
			<link>http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-726.html</link>
			<pubDate>Sun, 23 May 2010 22:04:04 -0500</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-726.html</guid>
			<description><![CDATA[21st Century Science &amp; Technology Magazine<br />
<br />
by Dr. Robert E. Stevenson<br />
<br />
(Full text of article from Summer 2000 21st Century)<br />
<br />
EXCERPT:<br />
<br />
Contrary to recent press reports that the oceans hold the still-undetected global atmospheric warming predicted by climate models, ocean warming occurs in 100-year cycles, independent of both radiative and human influences.<br />
<br />
At a press conference in Washington, D.C., on March 24, 2000, Dr. James Baker, Administrator of the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), announced that since the late 1940s, there “has been warming to a depth of nearly 10,000 feet in the Atlantic, Pacific, and Indian Oceans.” “In each ocean basin, substantial temperature changes are occurring at much deeper depths than we previously thought,” Dr. Baker said, as indicated by research conducted at NOAA’s Ocean Climate Laboratory. He was referring to a paper published in Science magazine that day, prepared by Sydney Levitus, John Antonov, Timothy Boyer, and Cathy Stephens, of the NOAA Center.<br />
<br />
For 15 years, modellers have tried to explain their lack of success in predicting global warming. The climate models had predicted a global temperature increase of 1.5°C by the year 2000, six times more than that which has taken place. Not discouraged, the modellers argue that the heat generated by their claimed “greenhouse warming effect” is being stored in the deep oceans, and that it will eventually come back to haunt us. They’ve needed such a boost to prop up the man-induced greenhouse warming theory, but have had no observational evidence to support it. The Levitus, et al. article is now cited as the needed support.<br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.21stcenturysciencetech.com/articles/ocean.html" target="_blank">LINK</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[21st Century Science &amp; Technology Magazine<br />
<br />
by Dr. Robert E. Stevenson<br />
<br />
(Full text of article from Summer 2000 21st Century)<br />
<br />
EXCERPT:<br />
<br />
Contrary to recent press reports that the oceans hold the still-undetected global atmospheric warming predicted by climate models, ocean warming occurs in 100-year cycles, independent of both radiative and human influences.<br />
<br />
At a press conference in Washington, D.C., on March 24, 2000, Dr. James Baker, Administrator of the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), announced that since the late 1940s, there “has been warming to a depth of nearly 10,000 feet in the Atlantic, Pacific, and Indian Oceans.” “In each ocean basin, substantial temperature changes are occurring at much deeper depths than we previously thought,” Dr. Baker said, as indicated by research conducted at NOAA’s Ocean Climate Laboratory. He was referring to a paper published in Science magazine that day, prepared by Sydney Levitus, John Antonov, Timothy Boyer, and Cathy Stephens, of the NOAA Center.<br />
<br />
For 15 years, modellers have tried to explain their lack of success in predicting global warming. The climate models had predicted a global temperature increase of 1.5°C by the year 2000, six times more than that which has taken place. Not discouraged, the modellers argue that the heat generated by their claimed “greenhouse warming effect” is being stored in the deep oceans, and that it will eventually come back to haunt us. They’ve needed such a boost to prop up the man-induced greenhouse warming theory, but have had no observational evidence to support it. The Levitus, et al. article is now cited as the needed support.<br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.21stcenturysciencetech.com/articles/ocean.html" target="_blank">LINK</a>]]></content:encoded>
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	</channel>
</rss>