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Richard S Courtney's comment
#1
From HERE

Quote: richardscourtney says:
December 8, 2012 at 1:21 am

Donald L. Klipstein:

You move the goal posts to off the planet in your post at December 7, 2012 at 10:59 pm.

Your post says in total

As mentioned above, Monckton says he said: “There has been no global warming for 16 of the 18 years of these wearisome, self-congratulatory yadayadathons.”
However, it looks to me like the lack of warming has been here for only 11 years according to smoother HadCRUT3:
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcr...bal/nh+sh/
Have a look at UAH:
http://www.drroyspencer.com/latest-global-temperatures/
Apply 5-year smoothing to that, and it looks like lower tropospheric temperature only failed to warm for the past 12 years.

It does not matter what you think “smoothing” makes the data “looks like”.

In 2008 the US National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) stated in its State of the Climate Report for 2008 (page 23)

The simulations rule out (at the 95% level) zero trends for intervals of 15 yr or more, suggesting that an observed absence of warming of this duration is needed to create a discrepancy with the expected present-day warming rate.

Please note the strength of that statement:
it says the climate models’ simulations RULE OUT a zero trend of 15 years or more. But that has happened according to all the major global climate temperature data sets (except the totally corrupted GISSTEMP): as Werner Brozek reports in his post at December 7, 2012 at 8:01 pm
http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/rss/fro...96.9/trend
And if you want to use the corrupted GISSTEMP then you need to explain this
http://jonova.s3.amazonaws.com/graphs/gi...0-1980.gif

The models represent the understandings of climate promoted by e.g. the IPCC.
The more than 15 years of no discernible warming at 95% confidence shows the models are wrong.

Richard
It is our attitude toward free thought and free expression that will determine our fate. There must be no limit on the range of temperate discussion, no limits on thought. No subject must be taboo. No censor must preside at our assemblies.

–William O. Douglas, U.S. Supreme Court Justice, 1952
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